The most important event in March was the combat readiness inspection. During the month, activities were completed with units formed on the basis of the 72nd Joint Training Center. In addition, the combat readiness inspection was conducted in units of the Air Force and Air Defense Forces, as well as other units.
The situation on the Belarusian-Ukrainian border did not change. In mid-February, the routine rotation took place. Units of the Special Operations Forces were redeployed to the border with Ukraine to replace units of the Ground Forces. These units stayed there in March as well. Units of the Internal Troops are also deployed there. The total number of the group of the Belarusian Armed Forces and Internal Troops is estimated at ≈1000 people. These units do not pose a military threat to Ukraine.
March was full of events in the field of territorial defense. Training sessions with the territorial troops began in two regions bordering NATO countries, and training of national home guard detachments continues in Homiel region.
Flights of Russian UAVs continued to be recorded in the airspace of Belarus. A total of 30 UAVs (mostly of the Shahed type) were recorded in March. There were no reports of the UAVs being shot down. It is important to note that the number of violations of Belarus’s airspace by UAVs has been decreasing for the fourth month in a row.
The general direction of the national security measures implemented by the Lukashenka regime indicates an increasing (in the regime’s opinion) probability of Belarus’s participation in the war. At the same time, the participation of the Belarusian Armed Forces in military actions on Russia’s side still looks unlikely.
The situation with the group of the Russian Armed Forces in Belarus did not change fundamentally in March compared to previous months. As of April 1, 2025, the number of the Russian military in Belarus can be estimated at ≈ 2000 people. At least 2 Su-30SM fighters of the Russian Aerospace Forces are permanently deployed at Baranavichy airfield.
No increase in the number of the Russian group in Belarus has been recorded. The main factor that can significantly change the situation with the Russian military presence in Belarus is the West-2025 drills. The active phase of the drills will take place on September 12-16.
Contents
1. Armed Forces of the Republic of Belarus
1.1. Combat training
1.2. Movement of troops by rail. Aviation activity
1.3. Military commissariats
1.4. Territorial defense
1.5. Training of the mobilization reserve
1.6. Rearmament of the Belarusian Armed Forces. Work of the military-industrial complex
1.7. Military infrastructure development. Formation of new units. Training of military personnel
1.8. Tactical nuclear weapons. Oreshnik missile system
1.9. Amendments to legislation in the military sphere
2. Internal Troops. Border guard authorities
2.1. Internal Troops
2.2. Border guard authorities
3. Group deployed in the border regions
3.1. Border with Ukraine
3.2. Border with NATO member states: Poland, Lithuania and Latvia
4. Violation of Belarus’s airspace by Russian UAVs
5. Russia’s military activity in Belarus
5.1. Russian group in Belarus
5.2. Aviation activity
If you would like to receive the full version of the report, please contact us at info@isans.org
Материал доступен на русском языке: Обзор военной активности в Беларуси за март
